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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.97vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+10.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.75vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+3.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+3.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.72vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.59vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.05-1.91vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-2.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.99vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-4.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-3.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-6.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.43-3.13vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-2.06vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-1.42vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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12.64Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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7.46Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.09Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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13.94Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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15.58Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Peter Johns | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 4.6% |
| Alex Olt | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 8.1% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 32.8% | 24.1% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 8.0% | 20.3% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.