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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.09vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+4.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.78vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+3.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.48vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.05-1.80vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.28vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.43+1.03vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+0.68vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.48-4.78vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.39-5.58vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.57vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.16vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.21-0.13vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.03-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.08SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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12.68Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.43University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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13.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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16.87University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
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15.42Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Johns | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 7.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 62.3% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 32.2% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.