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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.92vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.48+3.22vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.93+0.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.45vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39+0.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-2.92vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.87vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-3.28vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-5.52vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+0.66vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29-1.80vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.43-3.05vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.47vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-1.39vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.13SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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7.72Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.66Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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12.2Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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15.61Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.74University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 6.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Alex Olt | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Christina Johns | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 33.2% | 23.9% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 19.5% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.