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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.77vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+2.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.13vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+0.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.23vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-0.49vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.27vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.43-1.19vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.48-5.93vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-2.59vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.14vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-1.41vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.51Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.81SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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12.41Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.86Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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15.59Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 5.2% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Johns | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Olt | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 32.0% | 24.2% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 20.2% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.