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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+5.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.68vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.14+6.71vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+1.99vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.40vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.03vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.34vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+4.42vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-2.25vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-2.38vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.93-5.13vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29-0.80vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.43-2.39vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-1.23vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.03-0.41vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-9.09vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.71University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.2Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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13.77Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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15.59Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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16.72University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 10.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Harrison | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 4.7% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Alex Olt | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 5.5% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 30.0% | 25.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 8.2% | 18.4% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.