← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.64vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.60+5.99vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.67+4.71vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.39+4.40vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+8.60vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.43+4.88vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.54vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.14+0.47vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.07vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University4.05-4.75vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University4.08-5.63vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.80-6.05vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.93-7.63vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.29-2.70vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.52vs Predicted
-
17Queen's University1.03-1.39vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.21-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
7.99SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.71Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.4Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
13.6Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
-
6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
11.88University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.46U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.47University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
-
6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
6.25Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.37Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.95Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
6.37College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
12.3Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
-
15.61Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
-
16.73University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 6.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Harrison | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.8% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 5.6% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 33.6% | 23.8% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 17.9% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.