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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University2.04+2.50vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.87+0.45vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.27-1.02vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.90-0.24vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+0.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.86-0.82vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.45-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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2.45Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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1.98Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.76Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.56Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.57Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Soosalu | 12.3% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Hannon | 27.5% | 28.7% | 24.7% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Philip Alley | 42.9% | 29.2% | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dinneen | 10.0% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 26.3% | 19.6% | 10.9% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 26.2% | 34.2% |
| Michael Weigand | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 24.9% | 23.1% |
| James McManus | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 26.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.