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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.40vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.29+5.05vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.83+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11+2.89vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.55-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.58-1.13vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.54-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.64-4.36vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Western Washington University1.8121.5%1st Place
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3.4University of Washington1.8322.1%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University1.3312.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Washington-0.292.4%1st Place
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6.29Western Washington University0.837.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Oregon0.113.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Washington0.555.7%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Berkeley0.585.3%1st Place
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7.24Western Washington University0.545.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Berkeley0.987.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Washington0.645.5%1st Place
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9.53University of Washington-0.362.2%1st Place
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11.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 21.5% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.1% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 11.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Avey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 10.1% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 15.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.