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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+5.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+3.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+1.97vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.72vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+0.51vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39+0.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.04vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.43-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.14-4.76vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-2.65vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.16vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-1.42vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.72SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.51Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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13.62University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.24University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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12.35Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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15.58Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.72University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 5.3% |
| Alex Olt | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| David Harrison | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 18.3% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.