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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+4.92vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+1.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.07vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+2.30vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+0.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90+2.59vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.84+1.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-1.08vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.03-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-5.19vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.28-4.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-5.44vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.06-0.25vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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3.56Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.3University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.61Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.36SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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14.75Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Michigan0.620.0%1st Place
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12.42Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 24.2% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| David Alfonso | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Russom | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| David Hernandez | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Schwenger | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 30.6% | 32.0% |
| Nick Hecht | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 22.9% | 54.5% |
| Trey Hartman | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.