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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.58+3.71vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.90+3.21vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+5.61vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-1.34vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.39vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.13+1.73vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19-0.06vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.80+2.81vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.84-1.32vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.05-4.36vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.37vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Jacksonville University1.5812.6%1st Place
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3.7Jacksonville University2.1020.5%1st Place
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6.21University of South Florida0.908.0%1st Place
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9.61Rollins College-0.062.7%1st Place
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4.11North Carolina State University1.7816.9%1st Place
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4.66University of Miami1.9313.2%1st Place
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6.61Florida Institute of Technology0.737.4%1st Place
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9.73Rollins College-0.132.4%1st Place
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8.94The Citadel0.193.3%1st Place
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7.79Eckerd College0.444.8%1st Place
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13.81University of South Carolina-1.800.5%1st Place
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8.94Duke University0.063.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Florida-1.841.1%1st Place
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9.64Florida State University0.052.4%1st Place
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12.63Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
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13.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.5% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Adam Larson | 16.9% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Carter Morin | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 40.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Marco Distel | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% |
| Niah Ford | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 18.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.