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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.69+5.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+4.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+3.23vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.28+4.46vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08+7.30vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.51vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.84+1.78vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.03+0.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.18vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-2.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.41-4.07vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.78-6.32vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.74-10.18vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.06-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.90-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.46SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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12.3Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
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7.84University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.78Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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3.82Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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14.8Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Michigan0.620.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hernandez | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Trey Hartman | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 6.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Collin Leon | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 20.3% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 31.1% | 32.7% |
| Nick Hecht | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 22.5% | 55.2% |
| Philip Youngberg | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.