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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.73+5.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.68vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+0.63vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.58-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90-0.10vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.05+2.53vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.13+1.76vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.06-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.84+1.64vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.06-1.35vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.44-4.06vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.80+1.00vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.19-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.82vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Florida Institute of Technology0.736.4%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University2.1020.8%1st Place
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4.21North Carolina State University1.7816.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Miami1.9314.3%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University1.5812.2%1st Place
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5.9University of South Florida0.908.6%1st Place
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9.53Florida State University0.052.6%1st Place
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9.76Rollins College-0.132.5%1st Place
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8.95Duke University0.063.5%1st Place
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11.64University of Florida-1.841.2%1st Place
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9.65Rollins College-0.062.6%1st Place
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7.94Eckerd College0.444.5%1st Place
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14.0University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
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8.92The Citadel0.193.1%1st Place
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13.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.3%1st Place
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12.5Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.8% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Julia Scott | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 8.2% |
| KA Hamner | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Carter Morin | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 43.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 23.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.