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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.58+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.49vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90+2.17vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+4.95vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06+2.96vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+2.16vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78-3.56vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.05+0.66vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84+0.69vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.73-5.22vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.06-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Jacksonville University1.5813.7%1st Place
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3.49University of Miami2.3221.3%1st Place
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3.89Jacksonville University2.1016.7%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida0.907.3%1st Place
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9.95Rollins College-0.132.4%1st Place
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8.96Duke University0.062.4%1st Place
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9.16The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
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4.44North Carolina State University1.7815.4%1st Place
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9.66Florida State University0.053.1%1st Place
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7.99Eckerd College0.443.6%1st Place
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11.69University of Florida-1.841.1%1st Place
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6.78Florida Institute of Technology0.735.8%1st Place
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9.88Rollins College-0.062.2%1st Place
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12.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.980.9%1st Place
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13.98University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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12.73Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.3% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.7% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Adam Larson | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Carter Morin | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 10.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Torin Stremlau | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 15.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 45.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.