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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+1.03vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.90+1.72vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+0.52vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.87-1.52vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.86-0.87vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.45-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.72Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.52Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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2.48Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.55Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.56Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 43.1% | 28.2% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dinneen | 9.9% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Peter Soosalu | 10.7% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Hannon | 27.4% | 29.2% | 21.6% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 26.9% | 34.3% |
| Michael Weigand | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 23.4% | 25.1% | 22.6% |
| James McManus | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 26.4% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.