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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.58+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.29+5.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.53vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.36+2.60vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54-0.99vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.33-4.23vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.55-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.64-5.39vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Western Washington University1.8120.3%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington1.8322.9%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Berkeley0.585.9%1st Place
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9.12University of Washington-0.292.2%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Berkeley0.986.7%1st Place
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6.29Western Washington University0.837.3%1st Place
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9.6University of Washington-0.362.1%1st Place
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7.01Western Washington University0.545.3%1st Place
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4.77Western Washington University1.3312.3%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington0.555.5%1st Place
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8.91University of Oregon0.112.8%1st Place
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6.61University of Washington0.645.8%1st Place
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11.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 20.3% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.9% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 11.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 16.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Emily Avey | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 11.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.