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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+3.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90+2.29vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.58-0.03vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.98vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06+2.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44+0.07vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13+0.94vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.06-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84+0.74vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+0.28vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.05-3.44vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.19-4.83vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-1.17vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21North Carolina State University1.7815.9%1st Place
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3.78Jacksonville University2.1019.4%1st Place
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3.51University of Miami2.3220.5%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida0.906.8%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University1.5812.0%1st Place
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6.98Florida Institute of Technology0.735.7%1st Place
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9.03Duke University0.062.9%1st Place
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8.07Eckerd College0.443.5%1st Place
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9.94Rollins College-0.132.0%1st Place
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9.91Rollins College-0.062.6%1st Place
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11.74University of Florida-1.840.9%1st Place
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12.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.1%1st Place
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9.56Florida State University0.052.5%1st Place
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9.17The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
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13.83University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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12.72Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.5% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Carter Morin | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| KA Hamner | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Marco Distel | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 9.4% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| Niah Ford | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 44.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.