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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.40vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.82vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.58+0.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.44+2.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90+0.09vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06+2.04vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.05+1.42vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13+0.84vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-3.08vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84-0.45vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.14vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.80-0.06vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.06-5.14vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38North Carolina State University1.7814.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Miami2.3223.4%1st Place
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3.82Jacksonville University2.1018.9%1st Place
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4.98Jacksonville University1.5811.2%1st Place
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7.92Eckerd College0.443.7%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida0.907.3%1st Place
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9.04Duke University0.062.6%1st Place
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9.42Florida State University0.052.9%1st Place
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9.84Rollins College-0.132.2%1st Place
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6.92Florida Institute of Technology0.735.0%1st Place
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9.06The Citadel0.193.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Florida-1.841.5%1st Place
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13.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.9%1st Place
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13.94University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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9.86Rollins College-0.062.0%1st Place
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12.65Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Adam Larson | 14.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Atlee Kohl | 23.4% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Owen Bannasch | 18.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Cole Schweda | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Carter Morin | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Andreas Keswater | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Niah Ford | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
Julia Scott | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Marco Distel | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 7.7% |
Hailey Hathaway | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 24.3% |
Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 42.9% |
KA Hamner | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.