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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.43vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.82vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+5.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90+1.11vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.44+2.00vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10-3.16vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.58-3.09vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13+0.80vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.05-0.53vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-1.90vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.06-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.84-1.51vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.83-1.53vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-0.98vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33North Carolina State University1.7814.8%1st Place
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3.43University of Miami2.3222.2%1st Place
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6.82Florida Institute of Technology0.735.2%1st Place
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9.13Duke University0.063.1%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida0.907.5%1st Place
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8.0Eckerd College0.443.9%1st Place
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3.84Jacksonville University2.1019.0%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University1.5812.2%1st Place
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9.8Rollins College-0.132.4%1st Place
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9.47Florida State University0.052.7%1st Place
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9.1The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
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9.89Rollins College-0.062.4%1st Place
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11.49University of Florida-1.840.9%1st Place
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12.47Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
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14.02University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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13.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.2% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Niah Ford | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| KA Hamner | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Marco Distel | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 7.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 16.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 43.9% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.