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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+2.69vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+1.15vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.58+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90+1.18vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.05+3.66vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.13+2.77vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.21vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19+0.08vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84+0.62vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+0.36vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-4.04vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.06-4.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-1.13vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Jacksonville University2.1020.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Miami1.9314.2%1st Place
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4.15North Carolina State University1.7816.4%1st Place
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4.73Jacksonville University1.5812.7%1st Place
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6.18University of South Florida0.907.3%1st Place
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9.66Florida State University0.052.4%1st Place
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9.77Rollins College-0.132.8%1st Place
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6.79Florida Institute of Technology0.735.5%1st Place
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9.08The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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7.92Eckerd College0.444.7%1st Place
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11.62University of Florida-1.841.9%1st Place
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12.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.980.9%1st Place
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8.96Duke University0.063.4%1st Place
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9.83Rollins College-0.062.8%1st Place
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13.87University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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12.7Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 20.2% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Julia Scott | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Carter Morin | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marco Distel | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 9.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 16.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| KA Hamner | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 44.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.