← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.78+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.93+2.63vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.10+0.65vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.19+5.19vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.90+0.97vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.83vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.58-2.25vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College0.44-0.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida-1.84+2.73vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-0.06-0.13vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+1.25vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College-0.13-2.27vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University0.05-3.53vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-1.83-1.30vs Predicted
-
15Duke University0.06-6.09vs Predicted
-
16University of South Carolina-1.80-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25North Carolina State University1.7816.0%1st Place
-
4.63University of Miami1.9313.9%1st Place
-
3.65Jacksonville University2.1022.1%1st Place
-
9.19The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
-
5.97University of South Florida0.909.9%1st Place
-
6.83Florida Institute of Technology0.735.5%1st Place
-
4.75Jacksonville University1.5811.8%1st Place
-
7.97Eckerd College0.444.3%1st Place
-
11.73University of Florida-1.841.0%1st Place
-
9.87Rollins College-0.062.9%1st Place
-
12.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.980.7%1st Place
-
9.73Rollins College-0.132.7%1st Place
-
9.47Florida State University0.052.7%1st Place
-
12.7Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
-
8.91Duke University0.062.9%1st Place
-
14.09University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 22.1% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 10.3% |
| KA Hamner | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Torin Stremlau | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 14.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Niah Ford | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 19.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.