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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.64vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+5.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78-0.10vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.58-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.48+1.73vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.59vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44-0.64vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.05+0.17vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.13-0.57vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.09-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84-0.50vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-4.15vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.80-0.19vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.87vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Jacksonville University2.1022.1%1st Place
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5.64University of South Florida0.909.9%1st Place
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8.56Duke University0.064.4%1st Place
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3.9North Carolina State University1.7818.4%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University1.5814.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Miami0.484.1%1st Place
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6.41Florida Institute of Technology0.736.8%1st Place
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7.36Eckerd College0.445.4%1st Place
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9.17Florida State University0.053.1%1st Place
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9.43Rollins College-0.133.1%1st Place
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9.98Rollins College0.092.6%1st Place
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11.5University of Florida-1.841.2%1st Place
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8.85The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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13.81University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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13.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.4%1st Place
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12.45Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 22.1% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Adam Larson | 18.4% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Julia Scott | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 8.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 41.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.