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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+5.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+3.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.24vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.68+5.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.03+3.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41+1.22vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08+4.68vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.28-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-2.87vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-1.82vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.78-5.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.20vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-3.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.90-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.62-0.05vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University4.74-13.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.44Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.68Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
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8.94SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.1%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.54Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Michigan0.620.0%1st Place
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4.0Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Collin Leon | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Trey Hartman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 24.9% | 12.5% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| David Hernandez | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Zacher | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Erik Bowers | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Nick Hecht | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 71.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 20.4% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.