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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.78vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+1.39vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.55vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+4.60vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06+2.74vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.48+0.63vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.05+1.22vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-5.16vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.09-0.10vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.44-3.33vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.19-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.80+0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.84-2.73vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Jacksonville University2.1022.2%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida0.909.5%1st Place
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4.39Jacksonville University1.5814.8%1st Place
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6.55Florida Institute of Technology0.737.0%1st Place
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9.6Rollins College-0.132.2%1st Place
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8.74Duke University0.063.6%1st Place
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7.63University of Miami0.484.7%1st Place
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9.22Florida State University0.052.5%1st Place
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3.84North Carolina State University1.7817.8%1st Place
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9.9Rollins College0.092.9%1st Place
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7.67Eckerd College0.445.0%1st Place
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8.71The Citadel0.193.6%1st Place
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13.92University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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11.27University of Florida-1.842.1%1st Place
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12.33Embry-Riddle University-1.831.0%1st Place
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13.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 22.2% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larson | 17.8% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Carter Morin | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 40.3% |
| Marco Distel | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.