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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.02+3.83vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.68+2.61vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+3.76vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09-0.71vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41-0.73vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.70-3.65vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.45+0.43vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.57-0.50vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-2.05+2.32vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.04-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-0.89vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-3.11+0.32vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.71-3.31vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-2.70-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of South Florida1.0211.2%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.4520.5%1st Place
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5.61University of Miami0.688.2%1st Place
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7.76Eckerd College-0.173.7%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University1.0914.6%1st Place
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5.27Rollins College0.419.0%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University1.7021.1%1st Place
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8.43Rollins College-0.452.9%1st Place
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8.5Duke University-0.572.2%1st Place
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12.32Florida State University-2.050.6%1st Place
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10.53Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.5%1st Place
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9.94University of Florida-1.041.8%1st Place
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12.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.6%1st Place
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14.32Embry-Riddle University-3.110.3%1st Place
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11.69University of South Carolina-1.711.2%1st Place
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13.59The Citadel-2.700.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 20.5% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 21.1% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 10.9% |
| William Meade | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 7.1% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 46.7% |
| Robert Gates | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 24.5% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.