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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+2.39vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+2.41vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.02+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.68+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.04+4.09vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41-1.70vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-0.44vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.45-0.62vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+2.14vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57-2.62vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.05+0.52vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-2.51vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-3.11+0.41vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.31-1.96vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-1.71-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Jacksonville University1.4522.4%1st Place
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4.41North Carolina State University1.0913.7%1st Place
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3.45Jacksonville University1.7021.6%1st Place
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5.01University of South Florida1.0210.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Miami0.689.2%1st Place
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10.09University of Florida-1.041.6%1st Place
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5.3Rollins College0.419.0%1st Place
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7.56Eckerd College-0.173.5%1st Place
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8.38Rollins College-0.452.2%1st Place
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12.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.5%1st Place
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8.38Duke University-0.572.7%1st Place
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12.52Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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10.49Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.7%1st Place
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14.41Embry-Riddle University-3.110.1%1st Place
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13.04The Citadel-2.310.5%1st Place
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11.94University of South Carolina-1.710.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 22.4% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 21.6% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 8.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 10.9% |
| William Meade | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 54.1% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 24.1% | 16.1% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.