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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+5.31vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+1.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.24vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+2.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+5.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+2.16vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08+6.01vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.03+1.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-0.52vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.78-3.22vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.18vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.24vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-2.40vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-4.84vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-7.79vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.96vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.06-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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3.85Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.54Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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8.16University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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13.01Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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10.6Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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15.45Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 22.3% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Trey Hartman | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 15.2% |
| Collin Leon | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Erik Bowers | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Wallace | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| David Hernandez | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Russom | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| William Schwenger | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.