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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.95vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.34+4.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.10vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+0.24vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.74+0.93vs Predicted
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6Queen's University2.04+1.95vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.86vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.09-0.43vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.13+1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.69+0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo2.44-5.22vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-4.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.10-3.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.54-3.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.69-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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6.75Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.24Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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5.93SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.95Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Maritime College2.090.1%1st Place
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10.33Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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8.96Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.57U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 18.7% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 16.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Scott | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Webber | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.