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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.02+2.90vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.68+1.52vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+2.46vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+4.51vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41-1.66vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.45-4.61vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.04+0.96vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.45-1.74vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+0.04vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71-1.28vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.05-1.51vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.70-1.27vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Jacksonville University1.7020.1%1st Place
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4.9University of South Florida1.0210.2%1st Place
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4.32North Carolina State University1.0914.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Miami0.688.6%1st Place
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7.46Eckerd College-0.174.2%1st Place
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10.51Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.3%1st Place
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5.34Rollins College0.418.6%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University1.4522.6%1st Place
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9.96University of Florida-1.041.4%1st Place
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8.26Rollins College-0.454.0%1st Place
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8.43Duke University-0.572.7%1st Place
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12.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.8%1st Place
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11.72University of South Carolina-1.710.6%1st Place
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12.49Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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13.73The Citadel-2.700.2%1st Place
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14.38Embry-Riddle University-3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 20.1% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.1% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Meade | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 22.6% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Zi Burns | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 10.8% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 24.3% | 29.0% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.