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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.55+6.01vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.52vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.83+2.34vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.33-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.64+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.58-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.29+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.36-1.56vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.54-4.84vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01University of Washington0.554.9%1st Place
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3.66Western Washington University1.8120.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Washington1.8322.1%1st Place
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6.34Western Washington University0.836.3%1st Place
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4.87Western Washington University1.3312.5%1st Place
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6.62University of Washington0.646.2%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Berkeley0.586.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley0.987.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Washington-0.292.5%1st Place
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8.89University of Oregon0.112.7%1st Place
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9.44University of Washington-0.362.3%1st Place
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7.16Western Washington University0.545.8%1st Place
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11.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Huskins | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 20.2% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.1% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
| Emily Avey | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 11.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 14.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 15.3% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.