← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University2.87+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University2.04+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Colgate University1.90+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+1.58vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University3.27-2.87vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy0.86-0.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo0.79-1.12vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College0.45-1.71vs Predicted
-
10University of Buffalo0.79-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
-
3.84Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
-
4.05Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.58Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
-
2.13Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
-
5.68U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.29Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hannon | 26.9% | 28.6% | 22.1% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.6% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dinneen | 9.2% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 40.2% | 27.7% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.