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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.68+3.61vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.02+0.91vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-1.58vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+1.58vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.57+1.33vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41-2.62vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.45-0.55vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+0.52vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.04-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+0.17vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-2.05-0.46vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-2.31-0.98vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.71-3.25vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Jacksonville University1.7021.7%1st Place
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5.61University of Miami0.687.9%1st Place
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4.35North Carolina State University1.0913.7%1st Place
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4.91University of South Florida1.0211.4%1st Place
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3.42Jacksonville University1.4522.2%1st Place
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7.58Eckerd College-0.174.5%1st Place
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8.33Duke University-0.572.5%1st Place
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5.38Rollins College0.417.8%1st Place
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8.45Rollins College-0.453.0%1st Place
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10.52Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.9%1st Place
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10.05University of Florida-1.041.5%1st Place
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12.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.7%1st Place
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12.54Florida State University-2.050.7%1st Place
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13.02The Citadel-2.310.1%1st Place
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11.75University of South Carolina-1.711.0%1st Place
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14.5Embry-Riddle University-3.110.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 21.7% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 22.2% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| William Meade | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 8.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 11.2% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| Robert Gates | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.