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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+3.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.87vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+4.79vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.34+2.98vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.09+2.72vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.59vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.74-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo2.44-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.69+2.39vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.13-0.60vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.10-1.56vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.99-7.84vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.64-5.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.54-3.45vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.69-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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7.79Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.98Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.72SUNY Maritime College2.090.0%1st Place
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4.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.59SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.4Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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10.44Fordham University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.83Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 17.3% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 18.9% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Scott | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Webber | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.