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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.42vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+2.33vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.45+0.47vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+3.61vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.68-0.50vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.57+1.35vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41-2.61vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.45-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+2.07vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-0.68vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.05+0.32vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.04-2.96vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.71-2.34vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.70-1.25vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Jacksonville University1.7020.9%1st Place
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4.33North Carolina State University1.0913.9%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.4521.6%1st Place
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7.61Eckerd College-0.173.2%1st Place
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4.95University of South Florida1.0210.8%1st Place
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5.5University of Miami0.689.0%1st Place
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8.35Duke University-0.573.3%1st Place
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5.39Rollins College0.418.7%1st Place
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8.41Rollins College-0.452.6%1st Place
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12.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.1%1st Place
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10.32Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.6%1st Place
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12.32Florida State University-2.050.9%1st Place
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10.04University of Florida-1.041.1%1st Place
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11.66University of South Carolina-1.710.5%1st Place
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13.75The Citadel-2.700.4%1st Place
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14.41Embry-Riddle University-3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 20.9% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 21.6% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 6.9% |
| William Meade | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 8.6% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.