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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.92vs Predicted
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2Queen's University2.04+5.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+0.17vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.74+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.69+5.45vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.13+3.07vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.34-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo2.44-2.28vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.09-2.23vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.64-1.97vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-7.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.10-2.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.54-2.39vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.69-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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7.61Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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5.93SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.07Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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6.92Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.77SUNY Maritime College2.090.0%1st Place
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9.03Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 18.9% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Scott | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Webber | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.