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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+2.47vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+2.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.17+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.68+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02-0.03vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-2.67vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41-1.65vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.45+0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.04+1.01vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.57-1.66vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-0.53vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-0.04vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-2.05-0.47vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-2.70-0.41vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.71-3.19vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Jacksonville University1.4520.9%1st Place
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4.27North Carolina State University1.0913.7%1st Place
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7.67Eckerd College-0.174.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Miami0.689.9%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida1.0210.3%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University1.7022.0%1st Place
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5.35Rollins College0.418.5%1st Place
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8.41Rollins College-0.452.4%1st Place
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10.01University of Florida-1.041.6%1st Place
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8.34Duke University-0.572.8%1st Place
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10.47Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.4%1st Place
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11.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.6%1st Place
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12.53Florida State University-2.050.8%1st Place
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13.59The Citadel-2.700.4%1st Place
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11.81University of South Carolina-1.710.7%1st Place
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14.26Embry-Riddle University-3.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 20.9% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 22.0% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Meade | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 11.8% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 24.1% | 28.5% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.