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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.16vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.34+3.95vs Predicted
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4Queen's University2.04+3.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44+0.75vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35-2.96vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.74-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.69+2.40vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.09-2.26vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.10-0.52vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy0.54-0.31vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-4.14vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.13-3.86vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.69-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.95Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.84Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.04Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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5.77SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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7.74SUNY Maritime College2.090.0%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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8.86Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.14Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 19.1% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Scott | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Webber | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.