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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.04vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.14vs Predicted
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4Queen's University2.04+3.69vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.34+1.73vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.65-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo2.44-0.50vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.72vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-4.68vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.13-0.10vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.64-3.47vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.54-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.69-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.69-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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5.84SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.69Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.73Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.93SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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4.32Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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9.9Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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8.53Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 22.3% | 40.5% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.