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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.02+2.93vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.17+4.37vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+1.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-1.52vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.68-1.47vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.45+0.32vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.57-0.55vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.04-1.04vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+0.16vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71-1.33vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.05-1.60vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.70-1.43vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Jacksonville University1.7021.0%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida1.0210.8%1st Place
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7.37Eckerd College-0.174.6%1st Place
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5.41Rollins College0.417.9%1st Place
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3.48Jacksonville University1.4520.5%1st Place
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4.27North Carolina State University1.0914.9%1st Place
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5.53University of Miami0.689.0%1st Place
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8.32Rollins College-0.452.8%1st Place
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8.45Duke University-0.572.9%1st Place
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10.53Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.2%1st Place
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9.96University of Florida-1.041.6%1st Place
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12.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
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11.67University of South Carolina-1.710.9%1st Place
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12.4Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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13.57The Citadel-2.700.5%1st Place
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14.47Embry-Riddle University-3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 20.5% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
| Robert Gates | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 4.8% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 9.8% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 25.2% | 25.7% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 20.0% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.