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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.68+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.02+2.08vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+3.52vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-1.57vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41-0.58vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.45+1.46vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-3.72vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.04+1.06vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.57-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+1.18vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71-1.09vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.05-1.51vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.31-2.03vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Jacksonville University1.7022.5%1st Place
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5.55University of Miami0.689.0%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida1.0210.0%1st Place
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7.52Eckerd College-0.174.0%1st Place
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3.43Jacksonville University1.4520.9%1st Place
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5.42Rollins College0.418.8%1st Place
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8.46Rollins College-0.452.5%1st Place
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4.28North Carolina State University1.0913.9%1st Place
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10.06University of Florida-1.041.9%1st Place
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8.37Duke University-0.572.8%1st Place
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12.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.5%1st Place
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10.47Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.4%1st Place
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11.91University of South Carolina-1.710.7%1st Place
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12.49Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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12.97The Citadel-2.310.6%1st Place
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14.46Embry-Riddle University-3.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 22.5% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 20.9% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 7.5% |
| William Meade | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 6.9% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 17.8% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.