← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University2.04+6.72vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.82vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.03vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University3.35+0.21vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Buffalo2.44+0.59vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University1.64+1.59vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College2.65-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute1.13+0.89vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University2.34-3.14vs Predicted
-
12University of Rochester0.69-1.32vs Predicted
-
13University of Rochester0.69-2.32vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy0.54-2.86vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.99-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.72Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.82SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
-
4.21Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
-
4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
6.59University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.59Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
5.97SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.89Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.86Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
11.14U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
-
5.23U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Soosalu | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 17.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 16.3% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 40.8% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.