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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.02+3.96vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.42vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.68+1.57vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+0.38vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-1.64vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.57+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.04+2.10vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-2.05+3.43vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.45-1.53vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-0.40vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.71-0.24vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-3.11+1.50vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.17-6.44vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.31-1.95vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of South Florida1.0211.1%1st Place
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3.42Jacksonville University1.4522.9%1st Place
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3.41Jacksonville University1.7021.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Miami0.688.6%1st Place
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5.38Rollins College0.418.1%1st Place
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4.36North Carolina State University1.0912.9%1st Place
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8.38Duke University-0.572.8%1st Place
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10.1University of Florida-1.041.6%1st Place
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12.43Florida State University-2.050.5%1st Place
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8.47Rollins College-0.453.0%1st Place
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10.6Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.0%1st Place
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11.76University of South Carolina-1.711.0%1st Place
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14.5Embry-Riddle University-3.110.2%1st Place
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7.56Eckerd College-0.173.8%1st Place
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13.05The Citadel-2.310.5%1st Place
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12.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 22.9% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 21.2% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 11.2% |
| Zi Burns | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Robert Gates | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 51.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.