← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Buffalo2.44+5.66vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University2.04+5.69vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.74+2.83vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.65+0.99vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.91vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute1.13+2.86vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University2.34-1.23vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University1.64-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University3.35-5.75vs Predicted
-
11University of Rochester0.69-0.22vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy0.54-1.00vs Predicted
-
13University of Rochester0.69-2.22vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-9.59vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.66University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.69Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.83SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.99SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
-
5.09U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.86Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.77Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
-
8.64Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
4.25Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
-
10.78University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
11.0U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
-
10.78University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
4.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
-
4.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 16.6% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 22.0% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 22.0% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 19.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.