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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.02vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.85vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+4.72vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.32vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35-0.82vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.34+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo2.44-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.69+1.77vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.64-1.25vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.65-5.01vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.13-2.32vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.54-1.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.69-3.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.99-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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5.85SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.72Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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4.18Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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6.78Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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8.75Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.99SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.68Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 18.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.