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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.02vs Predicted
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2Queen's University2.04+5.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.16vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo2.44+1.57vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.70vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.34-0.21vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.13+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.69+0.76vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.64-2.34vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.65-6.13vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.74-7.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.54-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.69-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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7.7Queen's University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.79Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.76Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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8.66Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 18.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 21.0% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 25.4% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 25.4% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.