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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.53vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of California at San Diego-0.7015.2%1st Place
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1.47University of California at Berkeley0.7463.4%1st Place
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2.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.4717.4%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.824.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Audra Spokas-jaros | 15.2% | 29.4% | 37.2% | 18.1% |
Katherine Olsen | 63.4% | 27.4% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
Ximena Greatorex | 17.4% | 34.2% | 35.5% | 12.8% |
Katherine Smith | 4.0% | 8.9% | 18.8% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.