Race 10A

north-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mike Carr 7.6% 9.6% 9.8% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 12.7% 10.1% 9.2% 7.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 6.9% 6.0% 7.0% 8.5% 8.1% 10.4% 10.0% 10.5% 12.1% 9.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.4% 10.0% 10.4% 11.2% 14.7% 11.6% 7.0% 2.3% 0.0%
Billy Hines 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 6.6% 9.8% 8.4% 10.7% 10.5% 12.2% 10.7% 9.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 15.9% 15.4% 13.1% 13.9% 11.0% 9.6% 8.2% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
George Prieto 11.5% 10.5% 12.9% 11.5% 10.3% 11.6% 8.5% 9.8% 6.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Dan Crouch Crouch 9.4% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 11.7% 10.0% 11.0% 9.6% 6.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
James Codega 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 5.3% 4.6% 9.0% 12.1% 16.9% 22.9% 14.8% 0.0%
Daniel Liberty 17.7% 15.8% 15.2% 11.7% 13.2% 8.1% 7.1% 5.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.5% 1.7% 1.2% 2.9% 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 6.1% 8.5% 14.0% 23.5% 31.7% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 16.1% 17.8% 14.4% 12.4% 10.4% 10.7% 6.9% 6.1% 2.7% 1.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Myers 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.5% 6.0% 4.9% 5.8% 9.3% 9.8% 14.6% 15.7% 13.3% 8.4% 0.0%
Lucas Holmes 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 6.5% 12.8% 23.2% 40.2% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.5% 1.7% 1.2% 2.9% 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 6.1% 8.5% 14.0% 23.5% 31.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.