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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.87+6.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.40+4.76vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+4.30vs Predicted
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70.25-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.14+4.93vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+1.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+0.89vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.75-3.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.25-2.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.95-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-2.33vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.55-5.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8317.2%1st Place
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8.4University of California at San Diego-0.874.2%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Berkeley-0.405.8%1st Place
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4.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2016.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.1710.1%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.4%1st Place
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4.790.2515.9%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Davis-2.141.2%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.2%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.603.4%1st Place
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9.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.944.6%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Berkeley-0.755.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at San Diego-1.252.9%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Davis-1.952.1%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Davis-2.191.0%1st Place
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10.79Arizona State University-1.552.1%1st Place
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9.95University of California at San Diego-1.132.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Kasper | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| JT Long | 15.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Camarero | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 24.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| John Gallagher | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 22.5% |
| Mason Norwood | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.