Race 11A

north-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lauren Turner 16.2% 13.9% 14.5% 13.9% 10.5% 10.8% 6.6% 6.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Liberty 17.7% 16.0% 16.8% 11.2% 12.1% 8.6% 7.2% 4.7% 3.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 14.1% 16.5% 13.8% 11.4% 12.5% 10.0% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Dan Crouch Crouch 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 11.5% 10.3% 8.6% 12.2% 10.4% 9.4% 6.9% 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
George Prieto 12.0% 11.9% 12.2% 11.0% 10.2% 9.6% 10.1% 8.9% 6.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 6.8% 6.9% 6.7% 9.5% 7.8% 9.3% 11.6% 10.7% 10.6% 9.3% 7.0% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.4% 6.8% 8.6% 11.0% 25.2% 30.5% 0.0%
Billy Hines 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% 10.8% 9.5% 11.6% 12.3% 11.3% 7.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Mike Carr 8.5% 8.0% 10.4% 9.3% 11.4% 10.6% 9.1% 10.1% 8.3% 7.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 4.6% 5.7% 3.4% 6.8% 5.7% 8.4% 9.6% 8.6% 12.1% 12.5% 11.8% 7.6% 3.2% 0.0%
James Codega 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 12.5% 18.6% 19.9% 15.5% 0.0%
Chris Myers 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 5.6% 4.6% 6.7% 8.1% 10.5% 14.3% 16.1% 14.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Lucas Holmes 1.0% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 4.8% 6.8% 14.3% 19.8% 41.7% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.4% 6.8% 8.6% 11.0% 25.2% 30.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.