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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.64+4.57vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.83+3.41vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.33+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.55-0.03vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.81-4.30vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.54-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.29-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Washington1.8321.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Washington0.646.7%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University0.837.5%1st Place
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4.79Western Washington University1.3312.8%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley0.585.9%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley0.986.8%1st Place
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6.97University of Washington0.555.6%1st Place
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3.7Western Washington University1.8118.1%1st Place
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7.07Western Washington University0.546.2%1st Place
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9.15University of Washington-0.292.9%1st Place
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8.97University of Oregon0.112.6%1st Place
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9.43University of Washington-0.362.3%1st Place
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11.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 21.1% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Leif Hauge | 18.1% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 13.1% |
| Emily Avey | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 16.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.