← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University2.87+1.54vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University2.04+1.83vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University3.27-0.89vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy0.86+1.78vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University1.90-0.91vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-0.48vs Predicted
-
7Hamilton College0.45-0.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Buffalo0.79-2.24vs Predicted
-
9University of Buffalo0.79-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
-
3.83Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
-
2.11Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
-
5.78U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
4.09Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.52Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
-
6.37Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
-
5.76University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
-
5.76University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hannon | 27.1% | 29.4% | 21.0% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.4% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 40.9% | 28.1% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dinneen | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.