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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.06vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.16vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.65+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.69+5.65vs Predicted
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6Queen's University2.04+1.56vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.34-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo2.44-1.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.60vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.64-2.32vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-7.88vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.13-3.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.54-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.69-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.2%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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7.56Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.76Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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8.68Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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4.12Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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9.96Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 16.6% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 26.0% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 26.0% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.