← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.74+6.02vs Predicted
-
2Arizona State University0.66+5.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.40+1.52vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.19vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+3.04vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.57vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.35+1.31vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.50-0.20vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-0.73vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.05vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.05vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-1.42+1.57vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.95-6.71vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-3.18vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.00vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.36-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02University of California at Berkeley0.745.7%1st Place
-
7.54Arizona State University0.665.5%1st Place
-
4.52University of Southern California1.4014.6%1st Place
-
3.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.9220.2%1st Place
-
8.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.5%1st Place
-
7.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
-
8.31University of California at Berkeley0.354.3%1st Place
-
7.8Northeastern University0.506.0%1st Place
-
8.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.354.5%1st Place
-
4.95University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.9%1st Place
-
12.05University of California at Irvine-0.881.1%1st Place
-
13.57University of California at Irvine-1.420.9%1st Place
-
6.29University of California at San Diego0.959.4%1st Place
-
10.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.4%1st Place
-
14.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.8%1st Place
-
11.42University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Harris | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rory Collins | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 9.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 24.6% | 32.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 44.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.