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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.16vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+2.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.51+2.17vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.14+6.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.88vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.26-1.44vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.64-0.63vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.99-2.47vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.47-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-0.13-0.42vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.17-1.41vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.26-3.35vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.22-4.33vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-0.14-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
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4.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.33Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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5.56SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.37Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.53Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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5.24Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.59Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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10.67Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Herring | 26.9% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 10.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 22.7% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Troy Zangle | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| David Geer | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.