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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.62vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46University of California at Berkeley0.7463.7%1st Place
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2.62University of California at San Diego-0.7013.5%1st Place
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2.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.4717.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.825.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Katherine Olsen | 63.7% | 27.2% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
Audra Spokas-jaros | 13.5% | 28.7% | 40.5% | 17.3% |
Ximena Greatorex | 17.1% | 35.5% | 33.8% | 13.7% |
Katherine Smith | 5.7% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.