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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.40+5.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.25+6.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+6.03vs Predicted
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50.25-0.29vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+3.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+3.17vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20-3.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.19+3.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+1.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.95+1.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.75-3.90vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-8.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.14-2.19vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.55-4.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.87-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8319.2%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Berkeley-0.405.1%1st Place
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9.69University of California at San Diego-1.253.6%1st Place
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10.03University of California at San Diego-1.133.3%1st Place
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4.710.2515.9%1st Place
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9.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.944.6%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.7%1st Place
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4.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2015.3%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Davis-2.192.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.602.1%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Davis-1.952.1%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Berkeley-0.754.8%1st Place
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10.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.2%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.179.2%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Davis-2.140.9%1st Place
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11.04Arizona State University-1.551.8%1st Place
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8.33University of California at San Diego-0.874.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 19.2% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Adem Evecek | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| JT Long | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Kasper | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 22.9% |
| John Gallagher | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| Connor Fagan | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Dante Massaro | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 23.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Alex Bussey | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.