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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.09vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+2.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.51+2.13vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.47+1.26vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.55vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.26-0.13vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.17+4.40vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.64-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.14+1.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.26-0.20vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-0.13-0.47vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-2.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.88-7.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.47vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.99-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
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4.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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5.26Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.45Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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11.4Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.35Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.79Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.37Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Herring | 29.0% | 21.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.0% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Troy Zangle | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| David Geer | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.