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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.14vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+2.79vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.26+2.73vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.99+2.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.51+0.25vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.47-0.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85-2.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-0.14+2.36vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.64-2.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.26-0.22vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.22-1.14vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.17-1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.13-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.64vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.88-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
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4.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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5.73SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.47Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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5.37Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.15Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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11.36University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.47Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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10.86Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.6Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.62SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Herring | 27.9% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Geer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Troy Zangle | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.