← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+4.07vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.07vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.99+3.40vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.74vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.26+0.86vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-0.98vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.85-2.79vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University1.64-0.73vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.47-3.67vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester-0.14+1.55vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University0.22-0.17vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy0.26-2.25vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute-0.17-2.52vs Predicted
-
15University of Buffalo-0.13-3.59vs Predicted
-
16University of Rochester-0.14-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.07U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
-
3.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
-
6.4Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
-
6.74SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
-
5.86SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
-
5.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
-
4.21Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
-
7.27Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
-
5.33Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.55University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
-
10.83Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
-
10.75U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
11.48Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 26.6% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 16.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| David Geer | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Troy Zangle | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.