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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+3.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.40+4.65vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.25+4.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.75+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.14+5.89vs Predicted
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80.25-3.18vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.11vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.19+0.08vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.55-3.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.87-6.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-5.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.95-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2013.5%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.1710.2%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Berkeley-0.406.3%1st Place
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4.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8317.8%1st Place
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9.89University of California at San Diego-1.253.2%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Berkeley-0.756.2%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Davis-2.140.9%1st Place
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4.820.2514.8%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.943.9%1st Place
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9.89University of California at San Diego-1.133.6%1st Place
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10.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.1%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.602.1%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Davis-2.191.5%1st Place
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10.9Arizona State University-1.552.9%1st Place
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8.36University of California at San Diego-0.874.9%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.9%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-1.952.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Kasper | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Connor Fagan | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 22.9% |
| JT Long | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| John Gallagher | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 24.4% |
| Mason Norwood | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.