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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.99+5.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.26+2.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.14vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-0.20vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.85+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.14+4.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-3.73vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.64-1.58vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.45-2.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.42vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-2.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.94vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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3.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
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5.84SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.42Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.84Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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10.65Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Croll | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 26.8% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 25.2% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 26.7% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 24.8% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 25.2% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.