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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+5.08vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.35+4.41vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.50+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-1.54vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.52vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.66-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-2.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.95-5.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.88-1.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.42-0.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.45vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.4%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Berkeley0.746.3%1st Place
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3.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.9219.6%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Berkeley0.354.4%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University0.505.5%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California1.4015.2%1st Place
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8.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.9%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.4%1st Place
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10.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.7%1st Place
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7.48Arizona State University0.665.8%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.354.7%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego0.958.1%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Irvine-0.881.8%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Irvine-1.420.7%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Luke Harris | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rory Collins | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 10.4% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 23.4% | 30.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 8.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.