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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+4.16vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.99+4.46vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+0.10vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.31vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.63vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-1.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-0.29vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.14+1.17vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.64-3.65vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.45-4.29vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-2.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.91vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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6.46Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
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4.31Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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4.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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6.71Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.75SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.35Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.71Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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10.7Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 27.2% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 25.8% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 25.7% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 17.5% | 27.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 25.8% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.