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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.14vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.72vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+1.27vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.99+2.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.26+0.71vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.64+1.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.51-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.14+3.14vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-4.05vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.45-3.15vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.85-5.34vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-2.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.3%1st Place
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6.72SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.46Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.3Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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7.85Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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6.66Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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10.69Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Herring | 25.9% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 26.1% | 36.4% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 19.0% | 24.6% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 27.0% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 26.1% | 36.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.