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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.52vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52University of California at Berkeley0.7460.6%1st Place
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2.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2621.3%1st Place
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2.66University of California at San Diego-0.7013.2%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.825.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 60.6% | 27.9% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
| Florence Duff | 21.3% | 35.6% | 32.0% | 11.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 13.2% | 26.7% | 41.0% | 19.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 5.0% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.