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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+4.98vs Predicted
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20.25+2.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+6.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13+5.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.87+2.45vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+3.47vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-3.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.19+3.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.75-1.95vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20-6.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-1.00vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.55-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.25-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.40-7.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.95-3.73vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.14-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.179.8%1st Place
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4.760.2514.9%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.943.9%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.8%1st Place
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10.02University of California at San Diego-1.133.3%1st Place
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8.45University of California at San Diego-0.873.8%1st Place
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10.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.6%1st Place
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4.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8318.8%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Davis-2.191.1%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Berkeley-0.755.3%1st Place
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4.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2015.3%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.602.2%1st Place
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10.95Arizona State University-1.552.5%1st Place
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9.89University of California at San Diego-1.253.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley-0.406.9%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Davis-1.951.9%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Davis-2.141.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Massaro | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| JT Long | 14.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.8% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 22.7% |
| Connor Fagan | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Mason Norwood | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Adem Evecek | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.5% |
| Sara Camarero | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.