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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.12vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.26+3.76vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+1.91vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.27vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.99+1.32vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.51-2.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85-1.22vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.64-1.56vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.45-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.14-0.87vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-2.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.90vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.2%1st Place
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5.76SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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6.32Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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6.64SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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4.99U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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6.78Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.44Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.81Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.72Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Herring | 24.7% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 15.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 27.1% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 26.2% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 24.5% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 27.1% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.