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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.97vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.26+3.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+1.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.04vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.99+1.62vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.85+0.98vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.64+0.20vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.45-0.11vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.14+1.75vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-0.13-0.24vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-1.96vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-9.83vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-0.14-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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5.56SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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4.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.2%1st Place
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6.62Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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6.98Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.2Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.89Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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6.83SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.04Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 17.4% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 23.3% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 18.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.