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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.93vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.95+2.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.86vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.19vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.51vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.50-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.35-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.88-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.42-1.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.3%1st Place
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3.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.9221.3%1st Place
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4.51University of Southern California1.4016.8%1st Place
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6.23University of California at San Diego0.959.2%1st Place
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8.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Berkeley0.746.6%1st Place
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7.6Arizona State University0.665.6%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University0.504.8%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Berkeley0.354.2%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Barbara0.353.9%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Irvine-0.881.3%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Irvine-0.361.8%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Irvine-1.420.7%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 21.3% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 16.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Rory Collins | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 7.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 30.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.