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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.64+4.74vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.65vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.83+1.41vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.81-2.25vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.55-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.11-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.58-3.26vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.22vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.29-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Washington1.8322.4%1st Place
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6.74University of Washington0.646.5%1st Place
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4.83Western Washington University1.3311.5%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Berkeley0.985.3%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University0.836.0%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University1.8120.4%1st Place
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6.94Western Washington University0.545.8%1st Place
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6.76University of Washington0.555.9%1st Place
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8.87University of Oregon0.112.8%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley0.586.9%1st Place
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11.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Washington-0.362.7%1st Place
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9.22University of Washington-0.292.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 22.4% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Leif Hauge | 20.4% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Emily Avey | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 51.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.