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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.87+8.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles2.21+11.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+11.37vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.36+2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California3.58+0.29vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.50-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis2.13+5.47vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.41vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.08-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.72+3.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine2.83-3.05vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.92-4.82vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-5.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.43+4.21vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.10vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.37vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California2.57-8.23vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University2.74-9.98vs Predicted
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22University of Washington2.81-11.02vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon1.84-7.18vs Predicted
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24Oregon State University0.76-3.99vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay2.30-11.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Southern California3.580.1%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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16.32University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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10.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.0%1st Place
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21.21University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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19.1University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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11.02Santa Clara University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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20.01Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.61California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mark Anders | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Cowley | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Vetter | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Jack Porter | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Soper | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 20.4% | 39.6% |
| Lauren Amery | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| Keely Scates | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Harrison | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Darrin | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Aike Burger | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 25.8% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.