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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.16vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.85+4.66vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.26+2.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.01vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.87vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.45+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.14+4.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.51-2.93vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-4.11vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-0.13+1.77vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.64-3.50vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.99-5.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.59vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.22-4.10vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-0.14-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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6.66Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.67SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.2%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.11Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.07U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.5Queen's University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.47Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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10.9Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 16.9% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 18.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 12.7% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 23.2% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.