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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.26+4.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.02vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.74vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.85+2.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.09vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.45+1.70vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.64+0.16vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.99-1.70vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-4.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.14+1.15vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-7.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-1.98vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.22-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.14-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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6.76Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.2%1st Place
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7.7Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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7.16Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.3Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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4.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.03Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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10.68Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Lubliner | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 19.2% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 17.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 26.4% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.