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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.51+2.02vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.85+2.83vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.64+2.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-1.31vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.45+0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.14+3.13vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.99-3.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.00-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.14-0.87vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-2.54vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.26-8.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-10.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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7.21Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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7.7Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.35Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Rochester-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.46Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.77SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 16.6% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle Morgan | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 14.7% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 5.8% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan LoTempio | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 25.6% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 16.6% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.