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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 16.6% 15.7% 15.4% 12.3% 11.1% 8.4% 7.5% 6.6% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Paige Conlin 5.1% 7.7% 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.7% 7.9% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Peck 12.2% 10.7% 10.6% 12.3% 12.9% 10.7% 8.5% 9.3% 6.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
John O'Riordan 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 6.5% 9.1% 9.2% 9.3% 11.4% 12.5% 10.6% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Arielle Morgan 5.6% 5.4% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 8.7% 10.5% 13.0% 12.0% 10.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Potter Hodgson 14.7% 12.5% 13.5% 11.2% 10.2% 9.9% 10.4% 6.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 5.8% 2.8% 6.8% 5.3% 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% 9.9% 12.6% 15.9% 11.1% 8.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Jonathan LoTempio 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 6.7% 13.8% 24.3% 38.5% 0.0%
John Croll 7.6% 6.6% 8.6% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 11.0% 9.9% 8.8% 7.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 0.7% 1.8% 1.4% 1.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 3.0% 3.8% 7.4% 15.2% 24.4% 34.4% 0.0%
Jonathan LoTempio 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 6.7% 13.8% 24.3% 38.5% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 9.4% 19.2% 25.6% 20.9% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 8.3% 10.4% 8.6% 10.7% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 10.9% 9.2% 6.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 16.6% 17.7% 13.3% 14.1% 10.4% 9.0% 8.8% 4.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.