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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2North Carolina State University-0.58+3.70vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.07vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.45+0.72vs Predicted
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7Davidson College0.21-2.15vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.50-5.00vs Predicted
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9Auburn University1.12-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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2.93Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.2%1st Place
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2.39Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.3%1st Place
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5.72University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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4.85Davidson College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.0Clemson University1.500.2%1st Place
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3.4Auburn University1.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John MacAdam | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 15.2% | 25.7% | 41.6% |
| Marten Kendrick | 20.6% | 22.0% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 32.6% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 29.1% | 39.1% |
| Zoe Williams | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 14.7% |
| Adam Matyi-Szabo | 19.9% | 22.2% | 22.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Hodges | 16.2% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 24.6% | 16.3% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.